Transcript (en)

I don't agree with you on this AGI thing because there's this group which I call the San Francisco narrative because they all live in San Francisco. And their narrative goes something like this. Today we're doing agents. The agentic revolution will change businesses, which I agree with. That what happens is the systems will become recursively self-intelligent. with recursive self-improvement, as it's called, if you have a scale-free problem, and a scale-free problem, for example, is programming or math, where you can just keep doing it, you get these enormous fast gains if you buy enough hardware, do enough software, so forth and so on. That is still underway. The collective of that says that in the next three-ish years, they believe that we will get forms of superintelligence. And the way they define it is basically a savant, a chemist savant, a physics savant, a mathematician savant. I don't agree with the three years, but I do agree that it'll be maybe six or seven years.