Texas Senate race Paxton vs Talarico
by HOMERED: Ken Paxton
A new poll shows the Texas Senate race is deadlocked. The New York Times/Siena poll of 656 likely voters finds both Ken Paxton and James Talarico tied at 47%. However, prediction markets tell a different story: Polymarket gives Paxton a 56% chance of winning versus Talarico's 44%. Paxton, who has Trump's endorsement, supports the SAVE America Act and wants to nuke the filibuster to pass it. Democrats may think Talarico has a shot, but the numbers suggest otherwise.
Transcript (en)
Even Steven 4747 and that race to me Texas is always fool's gold for Democrats in the long run. Do you think Democrats are happy with this poll if they see 4747? I don't. Number one it's likely voters so that now is in your sort of midterm or better universe THE TURNOUT WON'T EVEN BE LIKELY VOTERS. IT WILL BE LESS THAN LIKELY VOTERS. AND PREVIOUS POLLS SHOWED TALERICO WINNING. I DON'T THINK THERE WAS A POLL THAT HAD PAXTON BEATING TALERICO BEFORE THIS ONE. SO THE TREND IS ACTUALLY GOING TO PAXTON. BUT THIS IS A TOTALLY DIFFERENT ANALYSIS THAN MAINE. THIS IS GOING TO BE ABOUT WHO DO YOU WANT WINNING AND BEING IN CONTROL OF THE UNITED STATES OF AMERICA, REPUBLICANS OR Democrats on the generic ballot on that question Republicans were up by eight or nine points. Yes let's put that up on the board for everyone to see. It shows Republicans control people want Republican control at 50 percent Democrat control at 44 percent. If you're Republican you feel pretty good about that. And let me ask you one last question because President
