Jolyon@jolyon

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Trump Iran blockade analysis

The Treasury Secretary claims Washington has already won, yet Trump admits he doesn't need a deal with Iran. A blockade is active but described as having gaps; Iran hasn't exported oil from its own ports since August. The currency has collapsed and budget planning excludes projected revenue after 47 years of sanctions. Despite this pressure, the author asserts Tehran won't surrender within six months. If the regime remains intact, Trump reportedly has only one remaining option with no contingency plan if that fails. Meanwhile, Benjamin Netanyahu is allegedly attempting to restart hostilities before Benny Gantz completes forming a government. Members of the Israeli Defense Forces are reportedly concerned about this move, and Donald Trump is said to have lost patience with Benjamin Netanyahu privately. In Ukraine, Russia's demands regarding the conflict include Finland leaving NATO, clearing Baltic bases, demilitarizing Odessa, and blocking Ukraine from NATO membership. Both conflicts in Ukraine and another theater are described as frozen while sides wait. JD Vance is reportedly reconsidering his participation in the 2028 election. Brandon Weichert advises serious Republicans against entering the 2028 race. The Republican Party has not yet determined the cause of its previous loss.

1d

Jolyon@jolyon

Follow

Trump Iran blockade analysis

The Treasury Secretary claims Washington has already won, yet Trump admits he doesn't need a deal with Iran. A blockade is active but described as having gaps; Iran hasn't exported oil from its own ports since August. The currency has collapsed and budget planning excludes projected revenue after 47 years of sanctions. Despite this pressure, the author asserts Tehran won't surrender within six months. If the regime remains intact, Trump reportedly has only one remaining option with no contingency plan if that fails. Meanwhile, Benjamin Netanyahu is allegedly attempting to restart hostilities before Benny Gantz completes forming a government. Members of the Israeli Defense Forces are reportedly concerned about this move, and Donald Trump is said to have lost patience with Benjamin Netanyahu privately. In Ukraine, Russia's demands regarding the conflict include Finland leaving NATO, clearing Baltic bases, demilitarizing Odessa, and blocking Ukraine from NATO membership. Both conflicts in Ukraine and another theater are described as frozen while sides wait. JD Vance is reportedly reconsidering his participation in the 2028 election. Brandon Weichert advises serious Republicans against entering the 2028 race. The Republican Party has not yet determined the cause of its previous loss.

1d