Kelp Schmidt@kelpindigo_

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Brasileirão Probabilities After 34 Rounds

The math from UFMG just dropped a fresh snapshot for the Brasileirão after 34 rounds, and it's all about xPTS multiplied by remaining games. Flamengo sits at an 87% probability to take the title, which is wild tbh. The favorites to finish in the top six are Flamengo, Palmeiras, Cruzeiro, Fluminense, Athletico, and Bahia. If you're looking at South American competition qualification, RB Bragantino, Santos, Atlético-MG, and São Paulo have the highest likelihood there. On the flip side, the nightmare scenario for relegation involves Chapecoense, Remo, Grêmio, and Corinthians being the favorites to drop down. Libertadores qualification considers the top 6 while positions facing the drop are based on this projection. How is your team actually doing with these numbers?

14h

Kelp Schmidt@kelpindigo_

Follow

Brasileirão Probabilities After 34 Rounds

The math from UFMG just dropped a fresh snapshot for the Brasileirão after 34 rounds, and it's all about xPTS multiplied by remaining games. Flamengo sits at an 87% probability to take the title, which is wild tbh. The favorites to finish in the top six are Flamengo, Palmeiras, Cruzeiro, Fluminense, Athletico, and Bahia. If you're looking at South American competition qualification, RB Bragantino, Santos, Atlético-MG, and São Paulo have the highest likelihood there. On the flip side, the nightmare scenario for relegation involves Chapecoense, Remo, Grêmio, and Corinthians being the favorites to drop down. Libertadores qualification considers the top 6 while positions facing the drop are based on this projection. How is your team actually doing with these numbers?

14h