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Mark Warner Virginia Senate exit poll

Virginia's Senate result was called for Mark Warner, who takes a fourth term after beating Republican Bert Mizusawa. What the exit polls show is a base that held: 95% of Black voters went for him, 70% of college graduates, 68% of under-30s, 70% of women under 45, and independents at 65%, or close to two-thirds. Analysts never treated the seat as competitive. The figure worth sitting with is the one that stayed put. Among white voters without a degree Warner landed on 40%, the same level as 2020, and his rural share slipped to 42% from 48% six years earlier. Nothing there hints that gas prices or the Iran war turned Trump's voters toward the Democrats. Where Republicans stand to lose, if they do, is in the suburbs and with independents, a demographic picture that mirrors Georgia, North Carolina and Michigan. Source: CBS News / Writer: Daniel

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Jolyon@jolyon

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Mark Warner Virginia Senate exit poll

Virginia's Senate result was called for Mark Warner, who takes a fourth term after beating Republican Bert Mizusawa. What the exit polls show is a base that held: 95% of Black voters went for him, 70% of college graduates, 68% of under-30s, 70% of women under 45, and independents at 65%, or close to two-thirds. Analysts never treated the seat as competitive. The figure worth sitting with is the one that stayed put. Among white voters without a degree Warner landed on 40%, the same level as 2020, and his rural share slipped to 42% from 48% six years earlier. Nothing there hints that gas prices or the Iran war turned Trump's voters toward the Democrats. Where Republicans stand to lose, if they do, is in the suburbs and with independents, a demographic picture that mirrors Georgia, North Carolina and Michigan. Source: CBS News / Writer: Daniel

1h