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Anthony Aguilar on Iran sanctions history

Washington labels the latest sanctions unprecedented, yet a nearly identical statute passed in 1996 and Iran persists. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar, Fmr Special Forces Officer (Green Beret), traced every pressure campaign since 1979 to reveal a stubborn pattern. Carter froze twelve billion dollars, equal to around fifty-five billion today, while banning nearly all imports. Reagan designated Iran a state sponsor of terror and sought allies to intensify the squeeze. Clinton prohibited American trade, investment, and petroleum dealings amid a balanced budget. Anthony notes this era represented the strongest hand Washington ever held, but Tehran refused to fold. Congress later passed a 1996 law penalizing foreign firms investing in Iranian energy. The Treasury announced measures this week that mirror that 1996 law under a new name. Throughout these decades, Iranian output dipped, recovered, and climbed. Sanctions have drawn Tehran toward negotiations before, yet they never broke the table. A loophole remains as Oman appears set to collect strait tolls and share them with Iran. This arrangement quietly neutralizes the threat to punish those who pay. Aguilar warns that a siege failing to kill only instructs the besieged on survival. He states "often it leads to escalation instead of surrender." The final viable exit was the fourteen-point agreement in April. Brandon J. Weichert, Geopolitical Analyst, discussed these points with Mario Nawfal. See Substack: theweichertbrief or follow WeTheBrandon.

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Jolyon@jolyon

Follow

Anthony Aguilar on Iran sanctions history

Washington labels the latest sanctions unprecedented, yet a nearly identical statute passed in 1996 and Iran persists. Lt. Col. Anthony Aguilar, Fmr Special Forces Officer (Green Beret), traced every pressure campaign since 1979 to reveal a stubborn pattern. Carter froze twelve billion dollars, equal to around fifty-five billion today, while banning nearly all imports. Reagan designated Iran a state sponsor of terror and sought allies to intensify the squeeze. Clinton prohibited American trade, investment, and petroleum dealings amid a balanced budget. Anthony notes this era represented the strongest hand Washington ever held, but Tehran refused to fold. Congress later passed a 1996 law penalizing foreign firms investing in Iranian energy. The Treasury announced measures this week that mirror that 1996 law under a new name. Throughout these decades, Iranian output dipped, recovered, and climbed. Sanctions have drawn Tehran toward negotiations before, yet they never broke the table. A loophole remains as Oman appears set to collect strait tolls and share them with Iran. This arrangement quietly neutralizes the threat to punish those who pay. Aguilar warns that a siege failing to kill only instructs the besieged on survival. He states "often it leads to escalation instead of surrender." The final viable exit was the fourteen-point agreement in April. Brandon J. Weichert, Geopolitical Analyst, discussed these points with Mario Nawfal. See Substack: theweichertbrief or follow WeTheBrandon.

2w