The numbers for North Carolina are actually grim for Republicans trying to hold this open seat. Polymarket puts Michael Whatley's win odds between 2% and 3%, while Kalshi lines up right there at 3%. Polling averages have Roy Cooper sitting at 54.1% compared to what looks like a long shot for Michael Whatley at 42.5%. Meanwhile, 2,819,190 early ballots have already been cast.